COT Market Sentiment
COT reports show significant positioning biases. With inflation data impacting market dynamics, traders must lean on a structured forex trading approach and proper risk management:
- AUD – WEAK (5/5)
- GBP – STRONG (5/5)
- CAD – WEAK (5/5)
- EUR – STRONG (5/5)
- JPY – STRONG (3/5)
- CHF – WEAK (4/5)
- USD – WEAK (5/5)
- NZD – STRONG (4/5)
- GOLD – STRONG (5/5)
- SILVER – STRONG (3/5)
Applying swing trading risk management is key during periods of fundamental shifts, especially with conflicting signals between COT positioning and macroeconomic data.
Market Analysis
GOLD
Gold is finding increased selling momentum after recent moves, validating the bearish setup. MACD and RSI both confirm bearish sentiment. Until we see structural change, focus remains on the downside, applying forex swing entry and exit points with disciplined risk control.
SILVER
Silver is approaching the EMA200, with bearish MACD and RSI signals, yet the broader bullish structure remains. Traders should anticipate consolidation before a potential bullish rebound and use a forex swing trade risk-reward calculator to time re-entry.
DXY
Despite soft inflation, the Dollar is recovering with bullish momentum on MACD and RSI. Traders can target short-term upside with optimal risk to reward ratio setups while monitoring fundamental catalysts, including upcoming Fed commentary.
GBPUSD
GBP/USD broke key support at 1.34294, extending bearish momentum. MACD and RSI both validate this move. Swing traders should look for continuation opportunities, prioritizing managing losses in forex swing trades during high volatility.
AUDUSD
AUD/USD remains in a strong downtrend, with MACD and RSI favoring more selling. Sellers should continue monitoring lower timeframe entries, focusing on clean forex swing entry and exit points aligned with prevailing momentum.
NZDUSD
NZD/USD shows continued bearish flow, respecting technical patterns. MACD and RSI maintain downward momentum. Expect further selling while respecting consolidation risk. Smaller position sizing is advised within a structured forex trading approach.
EURUSD
EUR/USD broke out of consolidation to the downside, shifting structure bearish. MACD and RSI confirm bearish extension, making this a viable candidate for trend continuation setups. Swing trading risk management remains crucial given recent market volatility.
USDJPY
USD/JPY remains bullish as the Yen weakens. MACD and RSI suggest continued upside. Look for dips to buy with proper risk to reward ratio planning, noting the Dollar’s current strength despite soft CPI data.
USDCHF
USD/CHF flipped bullish after breaking consolidation highs. MACD and RSI both reflect renewed bullish momentum. Expect continued strength while managing entries carefully as swing trading risk management is vital in extended moves.
USDCAD
USD/CAD is testing 1.37261 resistance but lacks confirmation. MACD and RSI show mixed signals. Conservative traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before entering, applying a forex swing trade risk-reward calculator to avoid false signals.
Final Thoughts
The softer-than-expected CPI has stirred volatility without definitive Dollar weakness, creating selective opportunities. In this climate, swing trading risk management, accurate forex swing entry and exit points, and a disciplined forex swing trade risk-reward calculator approach are crucial. Stay adaptable and trade with structure as global data continues to shape forex momentum. Visit: https://worldquestfx.com/