Market Analysis
GOLD
GOLD prices retracted from recent highs following stronger-than-expected U.S. JOLTS Job Openings data. This retracement served as a test of previous resistance, now acting as support. While bullish continuation is possible, the MACD and RSI currently suggest rising bearish momentum. Within the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, GOLD stands out as a pivotal watch due to today’s economic calendar and the OECD’s lowered U.S. growth forecast (from 2.2% to 1.6%), attributing weakness to President Trump’s unpredictable tariff policy.
SILVER
SILVER maintains a strong upward trend. Although yesterday’s rise was gradual, MACD and RSI both indicate continued bullish momentum. As part of the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, SILVER remains attractive for traders eyeing breakout opportunities above peak highs, especially if GOLD continues climbing.
DXY
The Dollar gained strength after the April JOLTS report showed 7.39 million openings—above expectations and March’s 7.2 million. This has delayed expectations of Fed rate cuts and partially reversed recent bearish sentiment. MACD and RSI reflect bullish pressure; however, the Dollar remains capped under the EMA200. Among the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, DXY’s performance is crucial for interpreting broader market direction, especially as ADP jobs data and ISM PMI approach.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD gained buying momentum as it approached recent highs and held support at 1.34998. While RSI indicates potential consolidation or minor retracement, MACD supports further bullish movement. This pair is a key component of the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, especially given recent resilience in UK data and structural bullish support.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD is showing signs of renewed bullish potential after testing the EMA200. MACD signals an upturn, though RSI suggests persistent bearish pressure. Included in the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, this pair reflects how trade tensions with China and shifting commodity dynamics affect Aussie strength. Caution is advised until a clean structural breakout confirms direction.
NZDUSD
NZDUSD is turning bearish after rejecting the 0.60455 level. Momentum indicators show bearish strength increasing, but the broader structure remains bullish. As one of the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, NZDUSD reflects sensitive trader sentiment regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations and risk appetite in commodity currencies.
EURUSD
EURUSD has pulled back after strong gains, pressured by bearish momentum on MACD and RSI. Despite short-term weakness, the overall structure remains bullish, and support around the EMA200 could trigger another leg higher. In the context of the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, this pair stands at a crossroads amid ECB policy expectations and German business confidence.
USDJPY
USDJPY is showing mixed signals. Price is testing the EMA200, and MACD/RSI are trending higher—yet broader sentiment supports Yen strength. Among the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, this pair reflects indecision in risk sentiment and rate expectations. Confirmation of a structure break is needed before traders can commit to a clearer bias.
USDCHF
USDCHF remains in a bearish pattern despite recent bullish intraday moves. Price is pressured by the EMA200 and consolidation levels. MACD and RSI show signs of reversal, but until structural resistance is broken, bearish sentiment prevails. Within the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, USDCHF highlights the market’s ongoing lack of confidence in sustained U.S. economic recovery.
USDCAD
USDCAD remains in a downtrend. The MACD suggests continuation, while the RSI nears oversold territory. Although the Dollar has firmed, CAD strength persists, especially with oil-related factors and Canadian data stability. This pair completes the 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise, offering insight into the balancing act between U.S. data surprises and external currency drivers.
COT Market Analysis
AUD – WEAK (5/5)
GBP – STRONG (5/5)
CAD – WEAK (5/5)
EUR – STRONG (3/5)
JPY – STRONG (3/5)
CHF – WEAK (4/5)
USD – MIXED
NZD – WEAK (4/5)
GOLD – STRONG (3/5)
SILVER – STRONG (5/5)
Final Thoughts
These 10 timely forex & metal moves after U.S. data surprise reflect the market’s delicate balance between technical setups and macroeconomic shocks. Stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data temporarily shifts sentiment, but structural uncertainty and global growth downgrades continue to support metals and weaken the broader Dollar picture. Stay alert to data releases and structural price shifts—this week could be decisive for medium-term swing setups.